Denying open and transparent Scrutiny of the ballot for a side show of pressing the Button
It
will very interesting to see if the below the line vote will make any
difference to the projected outcome in WA. For one there is over 360
votes attributed to One Nation’s Robert Farmer (Most of these will be
reverse donkey votes.)
When the AEC get around to publishing the BTL preference data files,
which copies have been denied to scrutineers as it takes the Big bang
away from the AEC pressing of the button show and allows room for any
last minute twigging of the votes as no one knows what is contained in
the data file, leaving it open to possible corruption. Scrutineers
prevented from being able to verify the contents of the data-file during
the count.
The refusal of the AEC to subject the count to a full open and
transparent scrutiny undermines confidence in the overall process.
The preference data-files are eventually published, months after the
election has been declared and the crowd and public attention has
dissipated. This adds a whole new meaning to “secret ballot” when
scrutineers are denied access to copies of crucial computer data-files
that are used to determine the results of the election just so the AEC
can have maintain an element of surprise and leave open a window for
preference data to be tweeked
Had these data-files been published progressively during the count
then you would have been able to include them in your Calculator's
analysis
It would also be possible to highlight the impact in the flaws in the way in which the Senate vote is counted
Analysis of the WA Sent votes based on registered group voting tickets using three different system to count the vote
Model A
If you count the vote using AEC Senate rules with a non-weighted
(Surplus Transfer calculated by dividing Surplus value by number of
ballot papers) segmented distribution (distributing votes in segments
based on their value, stopping mid stream of a exclusion distribution,
skipping candidates remaining in the count and transferring the
remaining votes at a higher value then would be the case if they were
transferred as a single transaction)
PUP and ALP take the last two spots in WA
Model B
If you use the Western Australian Weighted (Surplus Transfer Value
based on the value of the vote spot the number of ballot papers) with
segmented distribution of excluded candidates votes (as described above)
PUP and Greens in the last two spots
Model C “The wright System”
If you weight it (Surplus value based on the value of the vote) and
apply a reiterative count removing the segmented distribution by
resetting and restarting the count on each exclusion only distributing
surpluses on each exclusion, one single transaction per candidate.
PUP and ALP win the last two seats.
Model C (Wright System) being the preferred method as it reflects the
voters intentions where first preferences from excluded candidates are
distributed as if the excluded candidates had not stood
The other alternative model is Meek which in 99.98% of the time produces the same result as the Wright System
When the AEC get around to publishing the BTL preference data files, which copies have been denied to scrutineers as it takes the Big bang away from the AEC pressing of the button show and allows room for any last minute twigging of the votes as no one knows what is contained in the data file, leaving it open to possible corruption. Scrutineers prevented from being able to verify the contents of the data-file during the count.
The refusal of the AEC to subject the count to a full open and transparent scrutiny undermines confidence in the overall process.
The preference data-files are eventually published, months after the election has been declared and the crowd and public attention has dissipated. This adds a whole new meaning to “secret ballot” when scrutineers are denied access to copies of crucial computer data-files that are used to determine the results of the election just so the AEC can have maintain an element of surprise and leave open a window for preference data to be tweeked
Had these data-files been published progressively during the count then you would have been able to include them in your Calculator's analysis
It would also be possible to highlight the impact in the flaws in the way in which the Senate vote is counted
Analysis of the WA Sent votes based on registered group voting tickets using three different system to count the vote
Model A
Model B
Model C
“The wright System”
Model C (Wright System) being the preferred method as it reflects the voters intentions where first preferences from excluded candidates are distributed as if the excluded candidates had not stood
The other alternative model is Meek which in 99.98% of the time produces the same result as the Wright System