Greens facing the prospect of losing seats to Wikileaks go on the attack

The Greens are facing defeat in Western Australia, New South Wales and Queensland.  Their greatest threat is from Wikileaks Party

The Greens could also lose a seat to Assange in Victoria should the ALP surplus and the Greens primary vote fall below 14% however the odds are in favour of the Greens winning in Victoria on the back of ALP preferences.

In a surprised turn of events Family First is also in the running to win seats in Victoria taking a seat from Liberal Party's Helen  Kroger and possibly one in Western Australia.

Vote Wikileaks and Family First are well placed to take advantage of above the line group voting tickets

The Greens are desperate to try and discredit Wikileaks that they are going around pushing false statement and claims that a vote for Wikileaks is a vote for Tony Abbott,  This is not the case.

In all analyses using the ABC Senate Calculator and our own database Wikileaks preferences do not  impact on the coalition votes at all. Wikileaks could help Sex Party gain a senate seat in NSW again at the expense of the Greens

Our analysis was done by allocating 3-4% to wikileaks and reducing the Greens vote and adjusting prefernces for other parties to take into account expected votes allocatd to new partis such as Clive Palmer, Bob Katter and the Sex Party to determine the required thresholds and shifts in the polls.
 
The Greens are expected only to hold on to a seat in South Australia, Tasmania and Victoria

Victoria

	Candidate	Party
1	Mitch FIFIELD	Liberal Party
2	Gavin MARSHALL	Australian Labor Party
3	Scott RYAN	Liberal Party
4	Jacinta COLLINS	Australian Labor Party
5	Ashley FENN	Family First Party
6	Julian ASSANGE	The Wikileaks Party  *

* Wikeleaks most likely to lose out to Greens on the back of ALP Surplus preferences

New South Wales

	Candidate	Party
1	Marise PAYNE	Liberal Party
2	Bob CARR	Australian Labor Party
3	John WILLIAMS	The Nationals
4	Doug CAMERON	Australian Labor Party
5	Arthur SINODINOS	Liberal Party
6	Graeme DUNNE	Australian Sex Party

Western Asutralia

	Candidate	Party
1	David JOHNSTON	Liberal Party
2	Joe BULLOCK	Australian Labor Party
3	Michaelia CASH	Liberal Party
4	Linda REYNOLDS	Liberal Party
5	Louise PRATT	Australian Labor Party
6	Gerry GEORGATOS	The Wikileaks Party

 Queensland

	Candidate	Party
1	Ian MACDONALD	Liberal National Party
2	Chris KETTER	Australian Labor Party
3	James McGRATH	Liberal National Party
4	Claire MOORE	Australian Labor Party
5	Matthew CANAVAN	Liberal National Party
6	Aidan McLINDON	Family First Party

* Family First most likely to lose out to Greens in a close election for te last seat

South Australia

	Candidate	Party
1	Penny WONG	Australian Labor Party
2	Cory BERNARDI	Liberal Party
3	Don FARRELL	Australian Labor Party
4	Simon BIRMINGHAM	Liberal Party
5	Nick XENOPHON	Nick Xenophon Group
6	Sarah HANSON-YOUNG	Australian Greens

Tasmania

	Candidate	Party
1	Carol BROWN	Australian Labor Party
2	Richard COLBECK	Liberal Party
3	Peter WHISH-WILSON	Australian Greens
4	Catryna BILYK	Australian Labor Party
5	David BUSHBY	Liberal Party
6	Lin THORP	Australian Labor Party